Upcoming U.S. Economic Events
- ChartAddicts
- May 11
- 3 min read
May 11, 2025
📅 U.S. Economic Data Releases – Week of May 11-16, 2025
Date | Time | Currency | Event | Forecast | Previous |
Tue May 13 | 8:30 AM | USD | Core CPI m/m | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Tue May 13 | 8:30 AM | USD | CPI m/m | 0.3% | -0.1% |
Tue May 13 | 8:30 AM | USD | CPI y/y | 2.4% | 2.4% |
Wed May 14 | 5:15 AM | USD | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | — | — |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | Core PPI m/m | 0.3% | -0.1% |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.3% | 0.5% |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | PPI m/m | 0.2% | -0.4% |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | Retail Sales m/m | 0.0% | 1.4% |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | Unemployment Claims | 229K | 228K |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | Empire State Manufacturing Index | -7.9 | -8.1 |
Thu May 15 | 8:30 AM | USD | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | -9.9 | -26.4 |
Thu May 15 | 8:40 AM | USD | Fed Chair Powell Speaks | — | — |
Fri May 16 | 10:00 AM | USD | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 53.1 | 52.2 |
Fri May 16 | 10:00 AM | USD | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 6.5% | 6.5% |
1. Inflation Data (CPI & PPI – May 13 & 15)
The CPI and Core CPI (Consumer Price Index) figures will give investors insight into consumer-level inflation. A higher-than-expected reading could reignite fears of persistent inflation and trigger a market pullback, especially in growth stocks.
The PPI (Producer Price Index) measures inflation at the wholesale level. If PPI is cooling, it may suggest easing price pressures before they reach consumers.
Implication: Inflation reports will impact Fed rate expectations. If CPI and PPI come in hot, the market may price in further tightening or a delay in rate cuts, strengthening the dollar and pressuring equities.
2. Retail Sales Data (May 15)
Core and headline retail sales will show whether U.S. consumers are continuing to spend.
March and February data showed volatility, with retail sales rebounding in April (+1.4%), but consumer resilience remains uncertain.
Implication: Strong retail numbers could support bullish sentiment for equities, especially in consumer discretionary. Weakness could signal broader economic slowdown.
3. Jobless Claims & Manufacturing Indexes (May 15)
Weekly unemployment claims remain low but are closely watched for signs of softening labor demand.
The Empire State and Philly Fed manufacturing indexes are key gauges of business sentiment and regional economic activity.
Implication: Sharp drops in manufacturing sentiment could further the recession narrative, especially if paired with weak job numbers.
4. Fed Commentary (May 14 & 15)
FOMC Member Waller and Fed Chair Powell are scheduled to speak.
Implication: Their tone will be critical for market direction. Hawkish remarks could spark selloffs in rate-sensitive assets like tech and real estate; dovish tones could boost equities and risk-on assets.
5. Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations (May 16)
The University of Michigan’s preliminary readings are closely tied to market psychology.
Inflation expectations are especially influential for the Fed's decision-making process.
Implication: Rising inflation expectations may pressure the Fed to hold rates higher for longer, which could weigh on growth sectors.
Summary:Markets are entering a high-impact news cycle. Traders should prepare for elevated volatility across equities, the dollar, and bonds. The tone of Fed commentary combined with the trajectory of inflation and retail spending will shape sentiment not only for U.S. markets but for global investors watching U.S. demand and monetary policy.
📅 Free Live Webinar – Every Wednesday at 8PM ET
Learn how top traders approach the NAS100. Join our free weekly sessions covering strategy, mindset, and market execution. No fluff. Just real insights.
Seats fill up fast. Masterclass registration also open.
Comentários